Thank you for visiting my site. My goal is education and discussion provocation: to provide ideas, research, observations, and opinions (sometimes strong ones) that help you understand economics and finance from an angle that is not talked about often on TV or at the cocktail party. This site is also noncommercial. I will not solicit any of my subscribers in any way nor will my subscriber emails be made available to anyone else without their permission. Send me any thoughts or comments you have and enjoy!

7.2.09

In his latest newsletter, Dr John McDougall outlined what he would do if he designed a health plan. All I have to say is I’d sign up. There is no doubt that lifestyle choices constitute a large percentage of the reason people need prescriptions and care (how much do we spend on statins?).

McDougall Newsletter Article

The typical excuse is that people won’t make the lifestyle changes necessary so giving them a pill is the only way to keep them from a catastrophic health event. I wrote about this problem and McDougall discussing it previously as he attached the NEJM Statin study which recommended proactive daily intake of a statin combo drug (which conveniently the researching author stood to gain millions if this suggestion were widely adopted).

The other big excuse I hear when debating this is “it’s genetic.” Ok then, let’s try trimming fat, calories, exercising more, and reducing the intake of unhealthy cholesterol-filled food and THEN see if it’s really genetic. Don’t put out a 300 lb person and simply dismiss this idea with “it’s genetic.” (Don’t we Americans just love one liners? “It’s genetic” or “I can’t help it” or “green shoots;” we love the quick phrase answer).

being a fan of liberty, I don’t want to make people do anything but certainly if people CHOOSE a dietary lifestyle that is detrimental to their health, they should pay more for insurance. Or put more positively, good health milestones as the result of a person’s choices should be rewarded with insurance discounts (I don’t mean genetic problems, I mean lifestyle choices - and YES it’s harder for some people to lose weight than others but there are skinny people with bad cholesterol and each person has their own talents - some can run faster, think quicker, joke easier, type speedier than others - we’re human we have to deal with this).

I doubt however whether this kind of medical plan would come into effect. I expect something more along the lines of more money for pills, gastric bypasses, heart bypasses, stents, etc. The voter would never go for a plan that would encourage lifestyle change and save money. So we will get what we get and in an aging country, we’re going to get BIG bills, whether daddy Obama and the guv’mint pays for it or if private insurers pay for it - WE WILL GET THE BILL.

The only way out of higher medical costs (and MUCH higher taxes - taxes so high you will cry) is to relocate to a younger country!

Chris Grande

Categories : Opinion
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7.1.09

Great interview of Jim Rogers from last November:

Jim Rogers

Enjoy!

Chris Grande

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6.30.09

Welcome to quarter end folks. In the news today on Bloomberg was this little gem on Chase’s latest move to increase minimum payments on some customers:

Chase - Bloomberg

Apparently, they will raise the minimum payment for “some” cardholders to 5% of balance instead of the current 2% of balance. They will apply this to people who currently have a balance also. This comes a few days before the new credit rules come into play.

I suppose credit is still getting tighter for those with bad credit history, and even those with good credit history who are exposed to risk. This does not bode well for those who wish to reinflate the artificial economy that we enjoyed up until 2006.

Chris Grande

PS balance transfer fees will also rise to 5%!  Makes 0% offers much less attractive doesn’t it?

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6.29.09

Reading the headlines this morning I saw this article on Bloomberg:

Bloomberg - Tuition Rises 4.3%

Apparently, despite the fact that the government is reporting deflation in our economy, the word didn’t get out to universities who continue their endless march of tuition hikes. This is however, the lowest increase since the start of keeping these records in the early 1970’s according to the article, but that is small consolation.

Universities don’t want to do their part to help lower costs. And I never figured this out - many universities now use teaching assistants to run classes, very low paid teaching assistants. They are laying off people. Many have outsourced their dining services and landscaping. Why do costs need to rise 5, 6, 7 percent or more every year?

The main reason is that these are not “non-profit” universities per se - they are businesses: the business is in research and competing for academic reputation, and the prize is being highly ranked in some magazine survey. Tuition had increased 5.9% the year before, but according to one source in the interview, it would not “look good politically, but does raise a lot of money” so it seems many schools chose to go with a smaller increase, instead of no increase (the inflation adjustment for social security recipients!) or a decrease.

Of course, this will be another increasing cost for a government program. With incomes down, and tuition up, the ability to pay (ATP) for the average family will drop which may lead to further need for federal financial aid. And with university endowments down 25% or more, and with some losing millions to Bernie Madoff, it may be likely that we see less aid from the universities themselves next year.

All in all, universities are another part of our economy that live in Fantasyland (just like California - put “Fantasyland” into the search box if you’re interested), as they think they can continue to increase costs ad infinitum and that no one will protest. The advantage for universities, however, is that US universities are desired destinations for many students worldwide. There will be no problem attracting students who can pay the (higher) international tuition rates and who don’t need financial aid. This will be to the detriment of American kids who will have to settle for cheaper and possibly less prestigious schools in the future (FYI: in all fairness, some of the best schools in this country are on the lower end of the cost scale including some excellent state universities in Virginia, California, Michigan, Texas, North Carolina, and others).

Chris Grande

Categories : Opinion
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6.27.09

I’m glad I was introduced to Dambisa Moyo and her talks on global development. For those of us who knew that the paternalistic approach to global aid and the BS that surrounds it with celebrities adopting African children and rock stars glamorizing their support.

Here is a great series of videos of an interview she conducted with the National Review. She really makes an impact. Some interesting points she makes:

  • There are many roadblocks to aid but ways to do it
  • The Chinese are big investors in Africa and likely they will be Africa’s best partner
  • Some people give money to try to coerce African nations to their way of belief wheras China simply invests and allows countries to run their own affairs, creating jobs
  • The wrong kind of foreign aid supports the wrong kinds of leaders and creates further dependency of African people on handouts but doesn’t help them help themselves
  • She prefers Hu Jintao (Chinese president) and his investing/job creation to Bono and Bob Geldoff (Live Aid)/handouts

See the video here:

Dambisa Moyo

Perhaps there is room for both aid and investment as Dambisa has said in her interviews - aid for the most desperate people but investment for those who can work and want to be educated or have education.  She worries though about those people that are addicted to being the “savior” of others instead of enablers of others - a common problem  found not only in service work but also often in the fields of counseling/psychology/coaching.

Enjoy!

Chris Grande

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6.26.09

Occasionally, I get into politics on my site but the times I have, I was a bit too emotional. So recently, when I’ve addressed political issues, I have tried to be tamer as I made my point.

So I will attempt to do that today too!

News of note: Ron Paul commenting on government funding to foreign countries, the IMF, and the UN for such things as ‘peacekeeping” and “economic stabilization.” Congressman Paul’s points, that these organizations often fail to maintain peace (love that UN effort in Darfur) and regularly fail to help economically (IMF imposes foolish restrictions on the countries it “helps” which cause then oftentimes to fail miserably as a result of taking IMF money and following IMF rules).  Listen to Dr. Paul here:

Ron Paul

Most importantly, many Americans voted for President Obama due to the war issue (if 5% of people voted against McCain because of fears of continued Bush-like policies, then lack of a war issue might have meant no President Obama - FYI - I wrote in Ron Paul because I didn’t care for either of those two). That being said, we are committing another $106 BILLION to the war effort - I must ask those for whom our military expansions were a major concern - where is your voice now? This is NO DIFFERENT than when Bush was president. It’s just as President Eisenhower warned during his farewell address - “beware of the MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX.” He warned that the MIC would always push for more war funding, more military expansion - apparently they got President Obama’s ear too.

Listen to what Ron Paul has to say. Then remember those words when our national debt sinks the ship.

Chris Grande

Categories : Opinion
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6.25.09

Green shoots? Haha I love how we love to grasp onto catch phrases like that. Here’s a fellow that thinks we have more retail bankruptcies coming. It’s Jeffrey Hoffman who runs the popular discount website ubid:

See Video HERE

Chris Grande


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6.24.09

If you are a student at any level (high school, undergraduate, or graduate) and you have an opinion on entrepreneurial development in rising economies, then consider writing in the SEVen Fund’s essay competition and go for the $10,000 prize. Read more about it here:

http://www.sevenfund.org/new-models-development/index.php

You can read more about “Rwanda Rising” in Fast Company HERE.

Good luck!

Chris Grande

For more on entrepreneurial ideas on global development, read my prior articles/posts:

Last year’s SEVen Fund contest announcement and more about SEVen HERE

Dead Money and the Problem with Global Aid HERE

Another Interesting Face in Economic Development HERE

In The River They Swim - Collection of Essays by global leaders on Development HERE

Categories : Interesting
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6.22.09

The universal health coverage debate seems to be going in the direction it should - into the quagmire, thankfully. There has been a lot of debate and plenty of double-speak but in the end, let’s hope this whole deal dies again. Let me share a couple of reasons why most of the way it is now is good for us:

1. WHOEVER PAYS, CONTROLS - REMEMBER that - this is the technique used by many parents of college-aged children when they want to control them. Parents would say something like “if you want your tuition paid you better straighten out your act!” (in other words, get at least a B average and take school seriously or you’ll be cutting grass for a career).

Do you really think that if government paid (a two word way of saying your taxes dollars turned around and spent by somebody with either a 1. PhD in BS or 2.  a political connection - i.e. gloried Mass Pike toll collector, only with a bigger title) for your health care, that YOU would have any control? Remember, Whoever pays, controls - I pay for my health insurance so I control what I get done. I have never had an exam refused to me nor has my primary care physician ever appeared to be trying to save a buck (she’s quite thorough).  WHOEVER PAYS CONTROLS.

For reason 2, I must refer back to an article I wrote last year titled “How Much Can I Buy You For?” I made the point that it is amazing to me that people would give up their health care freedoms for $300/month. Let me quickly outline for those who haven’t read it. My personal health insurance currently costs me $292/mo. I’m in my thirties so I know it’s more expensive for older folks - but Medicare supplemental plans often cost the same or less than I pay. My point though is, if I pay roughly $3,600 year, does it make sense to pay Canadian tax rates to have government cover it and control it.

Which brings me to Point Number 2 - the financial aspect. Most things run by a large bureaucracy where you can’t fire people easily and cut costs (think Medicare, can you cut that without political consequence? Can you easily fire gov’t employees either?) is BOUND to have EXPLODING COSTS.  Put another way, why would I first, give up all my health care control for $300/mo (I don’t come that cheap - you’d have to pay me $1,000,000 a month to voluntarily give up my health care freedom) and then likely pay 10% higher taxes? Let’s say someone makes $80,000/year. Is it a “benefit” to pay $8,000 in taxes to save $3,600 and lose total control?

On two fronts - Control/freedom and cost, the average person will likely lose in America with bureaucratic health care.  Amusingly, when I talk to Brits or Canadians, they are very proud of their socialized health system. Of course they have, like whipped dogs, come to accept the wait for service happily (they tell me they don’t wait to see a doctor, they can go in anytime and get in line - but I’d rather have an appointment in the future than wait 3 hours in a “queue”). But what is bad, is the long waits for advanced procedures. I see reported many things and hear many things so it seems to all be anecdotal - I just know that I have never had to wait in an emergency or for vital tests (see John Stossel on ABC 20/20 for a report on Canadians coming to the US for health care).

And who’s kidding whom here? Did we MASSIVELY miscalculate social security costs and medicare? YES. Did we have to raise taxes FREQUENTLY in our history to pay for them? YES. Do you have a hidden tax increase every year if you make $110,000 or more? YES. Do self employed people get double screwed by paying ridiculous payroll taxes for social security and Medicare but don’t get the same tax deduction on health insurance as everyone else? YES.

Folks, when will you learn? When will you learn that government types are jokers - they are motivated to get re-elected - that’s it. Power corrupts (or turns people into control freaks who think they are benevolent: these are very dangerous people - the ones who, in their mind, think they are doing good) as does money. Once this system is set up, it will go the way ALL OTHER government programs go. First some dork with a PhD will be appointed to run it - with a board full of other academic derelicts who will decide your care - then pass down dictates to THOUSANDS of new government workers paid for with the higher taxes.

It’s like anything else that is sold - if you don’t see the money leave your wallet, you think you’re getting a deal but you don’t see money siphoned from you in a slow drip until you’re financially dead. I’ll write another article soon to explain just how much of a waste it is to pay social security taxes and you’ll see another example of wasted tax dollars disguised as a “benefit.”

So what can we do? I think a good first step is increased consumer control of costs. I very much like the idea of insurance costs being reviewed and controlled by the user - if people know what they’re paying, they can ask more questions and shop a bit for costs. Cost differences between providers is very large from reports I’ve seen (e.g. an X ray at one hospital is priced much different than another).  This could be a first step so people can start SEEING what some of this stuff costs and perhaps we can all work together to lower costs by smarter usage. Then we can reassess.

There is one last point that drives a lot of the cost and it’s a point few want to discuss: that the USA is a big scale GM. What do I mean? We have a very large and growing older population - with high promised benefits. Our population is not growing so fast (we discussed before how many of these social schemes require a consistently growing population with no bubbles to maintain benefits). This is a rising tide under all of these medical costs that no one talks about. Another issue few want to tackle because  it confronts ethical issues: many reports have stated that we spent a large percentage of health care dollars on extending life efforts (keeping people alive).  What should we do about that? In universal coverage we will likely kill all these people off because if the choice is  either a. lay off a bureaucrat or  b. kill off some patients, my money is on option b. The whole debate will never confront these issues - more smoke from wind-filled elected officials. Let’s hope this whole idea gets “option b’ed.”

Chris Grande

Categories : Opinion
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Jun
20

Vending Machine Gold

By Chris Grande · Comments (0)

6.20.09

Interesting idea - sell gold in a VENDING MACHINE! It has electronic links to quotes so you would get up to the minute pricing and it is sold in small denominations (5 or 10g?).

ARTICLE

Enjoy!

Chris Grande

Categories : Interesting
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Jun
18

Oxymoron of the Day

By Chris Grande · Comments (0)

6.18.09

Folks, if the market were REALLY efficient as some academics say, then there should NEVER be a headline that says this:

Stocks Move Higher on Comments from Geithner

This statement should be an oxymoron. Just a thought…

Chris Grande

Categories : Opinion
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6.18.09

Great Jim Rogers Interview on the today show:

Categories : Money Strategies
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6.16.09

I mentioned this in a post last week, but it was so ridiculous I had to give it its own post. Barney Frank, for no apparent reason, explodes in an emotional tirade that would make a teenage girl’s emotional instability look tame. Watch here:

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I am not exactly sure what upset Frank , but he complains about being interrupted; however, he is NOT really interrupted.  It appeared to me like it was shaping up to be a typical back and forth interview.  And maybe there was a delay in the feed causing some miscommunication but after a gazillion years in Congress and all the interviews, Frank should expect that. and be more PATIENT.  My conclusion after watching is that he gave that hissy fit ON PURPOSE - I’m not sure why but I am certain (personally) that this was some kind of show (backfired in my opinion). Whatever it is, it’s not working - he just looked asinine.

Here’s more on Barney Frank - HERE

Chris Grande

Categories : Interesting
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6.15.09

Hi all - for those of you that pay quarterly taxes, today is the 2nd quarter due date!

Meanwhile, back to the main point. Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said that Russia has confidence in the US currency at a meeting of the “BRIC” countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China - the emerging powerhouses). This followed words of confidence from Japan’s finance minister, Kaoru Yosano, last week. This was, in my opinion, a staged comment and utter rubbish - a mere delay tactic. let me explain more…

Why was there need to express confidence? Read More→

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6.13.09

Nassim Taleb writes an excellent book called the “Black Swan,” which I am sure many of you have heard of, which warns explicitly about the dangers of forecasting and moreover, how wrong most forecasters are MOST of the time, he still gets questions about predicting the future.

See this interesting TV interview where he shares his points:

CNBC Video - Taleb

Chris Grande

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