Places Where You’d be Foolish to Pay Full Price

Routine shoppers are familiar with retail shops that constantly have sales. However, if like me,  you’re not quite the routine shopper, this nuance may pass you by. Therefore pay attention.

At a store like Macy’s, you’d be a fool to buy an item at regular price in my opinion. Why? Macy’s ALWAYS has sales (Macy’s has what appears to be a permanent Google link for www.macys.com/sale). Especially if you have a Macys card, you likely get frequent 20% off coupons and such. It’s the whole model, and it works. Michael’s is another chain that constantly puts out 40% off coupons (here is their Retailmenot.com page). Usually it’s on one item only but so what? Why would you pay full price? You can go multiple times or bring a friend to use a coupon if you want to buy more than one item.

Do you think the coupon “game” is silly? Maybe not. Let me tell you about a company that tried to go the other way and got shellacked.

JC Penney hired former Apple retail chief Ron Johnson and his big idea was straightforward honest pricing (“fair and square”). The best price -no gimmicks. It sounded similar to Saturn’s pitch some years back to avoid haggling when buying a car. How did shoppers respond to this offer?

FT.com

Not pretty so far. Perhaps shoppers want the coupons to “feel” like they’re saving money?

An important point to consider – if you feel that way, then perhaps you should analyze your own psychology when buying things. If you need to be “tricked” by a sale to buy something, or if a sale induces you to buy more or needlessly, maybe you should reflect on those thoughts and think about the tricks that retailers try to play on your mind.

The one downside to JC Penneys’ new pricing is the lack of bargaining, which can be fun. Some people are uncomfortable haggling, which is too bad because it can be amusing and it can save even more money.

The Underlying Issue in the Herbalife Fracas

Recently, a well-known hedge fund manager gained the spotlight by presenting to a conference full of people for over 3 hours and over 300 pages on a company called Herbalife that:

  • The company is a scam
  • that he was reporting the findings of his extensive research to the FTC
  • and that Herbalife’s stock was going to zero

So is he right?   [Read more...]

First Week Reflections

The new year brought a new tax deal, stock market pops, and lots of excitement.

Nice “pop” in stocks after tax deal

I will start right off by admitting I was surprised at both the ability to get any deal this quickly, and the added goodies that were put into the tax code. I had originally guessed a deal would come in March (or later) and that

  • income tax rates would stay the same for 250k incomes and less and rise for everyone else
  • capital gains tax rates would rise for everyone to 20%
  • dividends would get 20% treatment at best if not go back to income tax rate treatment
  • estate tax limit would come in around 3-3.5M

What really happened was this: [Read more...]

Local Bank Offering Gold – Setting the Stage for the Pop

US Gold Eagle

Those of us that view the financial world from a fundamental and technical standpoint (as opposed to only looking at fundamentals or only looking at technical trading) have our demons just like any other type of investor. And in looking at the gold market is no exception – in fact it’s an outright shining example of a market where I can see pros & cons all over the fundamental and technical map. now though, we may be putting the pieces in place for gold’s final explosive run – one of those pieces is widespread availability of the metal. However, before we get to discussing that, let’s cover some background…

The fundamental debates are endless:

For centuries gold, silver and other real assets were used as money. Paper money was introduced but it represented a claim on another asset – for example, early US paper money were bank “notes” which were redeemable at the bank for gold. Only until very recently (in historical terms – Bretton Woods in 1944 then Nixon in 1971) was paper money completely separated from a link to something that would give paper currency intrinsic value (gold and silver tied to dollars being an example).  So the argument goes, as we issue more and more paper money (even in “electronic” form), we further erode the credibility of that paper money. And remember, credibility is the only intrinsic value of paper money (weird to think about if you really ponder it).

As the credibility [Read more...]